StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Polina Iatcenko

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 92.83%1.08rättvist odds
EV -3.45%
Fördel -3.32%
Kelly -86.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
88.47%92.61%93.15%94.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.82%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Polina Iatcenko (Borta)

Prognos 7.17%13.95rättvist odds
EV +21.85%
Fördel +1.29%
Kelly +1.37%
Tillväxt +0.298%

med antagandet om högsta odds 17.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.68%7.39%6.85%11.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.7513.8215.0017.0012.90%7.24%6.67%5.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 92.83%; Polina Iatcenko (Borta): 7.17%. För Polina Iatcenko (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 13.95. 27 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 17.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +21.85%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +21.85%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.298%3.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +21.85%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.298%3.0%2026-09-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -7.17%E -7.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +18.98%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.231%6.0%2026-08-31 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%3.8%2026-09-01 04:30
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 21:40
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-09-01 04:29
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-09-01 02:55
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 23:05
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.49%EV +5.37%E +0.365%K +0.392%G +0.021%4.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.349%E +0.025%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:55
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -623.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.40%E -0.832%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.40%E -0.832%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -13.99%E -1.17%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.99%E -1.17%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.57%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 03:39
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 20:40
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.32%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.32%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 20:40
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -39.07%E -4.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -43.37%E -5.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.47%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -623.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -44.45%E -5.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 20:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-01 04:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:01
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37%3.6%2026-09-01 05:05
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%3.9%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%5.5%2026-09-01 05:05