StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Polina Iatcenko

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 23:09 UTC

Slutresultat: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Polina Iatcenko

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 93.37%1.07rättvist odds
EV -2.89%
Fördel -2.78%
Kelly -72.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
91.44%93.38%93.57%95.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.98%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Polina Iatcenko (Borta)

Prognos 6.63%15.09rättvist odds
EV +32.54%
Fördel +1.63%
Kelly +1.71%
Tillväxt +0.557%

med antagandet om högsta odds 20.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.81%6.62%6.43%8.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0015.2215.0020.009.09%6.57%6.67%5.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 93.37%; Polina Iatcenko (Borta): 6.63%. För Polina Iatcenko (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 15.09. 22 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 20.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +32.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +32.54%E +1.63%K +1.71%G +0.557%4.0%2026-09-02 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +32.54%E +1.63%K +1.71%G +0.557%4.0%2026-09-02 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.98%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.02%EV +29.23%E +1.50%K +1.58%G +0.462%2.2%2026-09-02 23:05
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +19.29%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.219%4.6%2026-09-02 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.0%2026-09-02 05:10
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.0%2026-09-02 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.0%2026-09-01 18:29
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 05:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100%3.9%2026-09-02 11:59
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.63%E -6.63%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +10.01%E +0.603%K +0.642%G +0.064%6.0%2026-08-31 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +9.35%E +0.567%K +0.603%G +0.056%4.1%2026-09-01 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +9.35%E +0.567%K +0.603%G +0.056%4.1%2026-09-01 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024%4.3%2026-09-02 22:54
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024%5.3%2026-09-01 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024%5.3%2026-09-01 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:53
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 12:40
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 09:15
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 05:50
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:59
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 05:10
BetAnything🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 13:25
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 23:00
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -1.92%E -0.130%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:55
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV -3.91%E -0.269%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -5.56%E -0.390%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.22%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 05:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.22%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 12:15
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:54
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 10:00
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.16%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.89%E -2.78%K -72.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 21:11
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 05:32
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -23.79%E -2.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.10%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12%0.2%2026-09-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-09-02 23:00
Novig◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.42%27.78I 3.60%NM 3.58%0.7%2026-09-02 23:00
Kalshi◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-09-02 22:55
ProphetX◎1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.3%2026-09-02 23:00
Smarkets◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71%30.03I 3.33%NM 3.29%1.4%2026-09-02 23:05