Język:Polski
Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 62.08%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -1.29%
Przewaga -0.811%
Kelly -2.18%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.59
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.10%62.03%62.03%63.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.07%65.36%62.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jessica Pegula (Goście)
Prognoza 37.92%2.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.41%
Przewaga -0.544%
Kelly -0.884%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.89%37.97%37.97%39.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.472.482.6042.55%40.42%40.32%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze): 62.08%; Jessica Pegula (Goście): 37.92%. Dla wyniku Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.61. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 1.59, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.29%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.79%E -0.693%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 05:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 07:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.07%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 06:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 12:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 08:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 08:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 05:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 05:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 08:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 08:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 07:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -10.51%E -4.46%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 14:46 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |