Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

2026-09-10 23:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.08%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -1.29%
Przewaga -0.811%
Kelly -2.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.10%62.03%62.03%63.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.07%65.36%62.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jessica Pegula (Goście)

Prognoza 37.92%2.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.41%
Przewaga -0.544%
Kelly -0.884%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.89%37.97%37.97%39.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.472.482.6042.55%40.42%40.32%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze): 62.08%; Jessica Pegula (Goście): 37.92%. Dla wyniku Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.61. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.59, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.29%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.79%E -0.693%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:46
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 05:34
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:05
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 07:59
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.07%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 06:24
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 12:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:00
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 08:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 09:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 08:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:40
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:21
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -10.51%E -4.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:26
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-09 14:46
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-09-09 17:25