StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-10 23:00 UTC

Endstand: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Jessica Pegula

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 62.08%1.61faire Quote
EV -1.29%
Vorteil -0.811%
Kelly -2.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.10%62.03%62.03%63.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.07%65.36%62.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.92%2.64faire Quote
EV -1.41%
Vorteil -0.544%
Kelly -0.884%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.89%37.97%37.97%39.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.352.472.482.6042.55%40.42%40.32%38.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 62.08%; Jessica Pegula (Auswärts): 37.92%. Für Aryna Sabalenka (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.61. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.59, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.29%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.79%E -0.693%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:46
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 05:34
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:05
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 07:59
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.07%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 06:24
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 12:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:00
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 08:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 09:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 08:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:40
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:21
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -10.51%E -4.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:26
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-09 14:46
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-09-09 17:25