Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

2026-09-10 23:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 62.08%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.811%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%62.03%62.03%63.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.07%65.36%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.92%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.544%
Kelly -0.884%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.89%37.97%37.97%39.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.472.482.6042.55%40.42%40.32%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 62.08% ; Jessica Pegula (Visiteur) : 37.92%. Pour Aryna Sabalenka (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.59, pour une espérance de -1.29% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.79%E -0.693%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:46
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 05:34
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:05
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 07:59
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.07%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 06:24
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 12:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:00
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 08:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 09:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 08:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:40
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:21
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -10.51%E -4.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:26
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-09 14:46
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-09-09 17:25