La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

2026-09-10 23:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Predicción 62.08%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.811%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%62.03%62.03%63.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.07%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Predicción 37.92%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.544%
Kelly -0.884%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.89%37.97%37.97%39.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.482.6042.55%40.42%40.32%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 62.08%; Jessica Pegula (Visitante): 37.92%. Para Aryna Sabalenka (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.61. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.59, con un valor esperado de -1.29%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.79%E -0.693%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:46
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 05:34
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 10:05
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 07:59
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 16:51
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.07%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 06:24
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 12:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:43
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:00
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.544%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 08:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:55
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.63%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 09:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 08:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:40
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:21
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -8.12%E -5.48%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -10.51%E -4.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 07:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-09 17:26
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-09 14:46
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-09-09 17:25