StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova v Elise Mertens

Matchstart: 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova (Hemma)

Prognos 66.05%1.51rättvist odds
EV -1.59%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -3.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.04%66.11%65.95%68.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.60%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elise Mertens (Borta)

Prognos 33.95%2.95rättvist odds
EV +1.86%
Fördel +0.620%
Kelly +0.930%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.19%33.89%34.05%35.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.752.753.0038.46%36.31%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Karolina Muchova (Hemma): 66.05%; Elise Mertens (Borta): 33.95%. För Elise Mertens (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.95. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.86%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:34
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%6.9%2026-04-16 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 10:30
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.21%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:30
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 10:34
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:35
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 10:30
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:28
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 10:33
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 10:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:34
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 10:35
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:28
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%2.6%2026-04-16 10:35
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-04-16 10:35