A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Elise Mertens

Início: 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 66.05%1.51odd justa
EV -1.59%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.04%66.11%65.95%68.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.60%69.44%67.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Previsão 33.95%2.95odd justa
EV +1.86%
Vantagem +0.620%
Kelly +0.930%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.19%33.89%34.05%35.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.752.753.0038.46%36.31%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%6.9%2026-04-16 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 10:30
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.21%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 10:30
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:30
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 10:34
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:35
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 10:30
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:28
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 10:33
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 10:29
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:34
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 10:35
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:28
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%2.6%2026-04-16 10:35
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-04-16 10:35