L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 66.05%1.51cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.04%66.11%65.95%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.60%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.95%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.86%
Avantage +0.620%
Kelly +0.930%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%33.89%34.05%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.753.0038.46%36.31%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%6.9%2026-04-16 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 10:30
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.21%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 10:30
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:30
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 10:34
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:35
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 10:30
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:28
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 10:33
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 10:29
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:34
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 10:35
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:28
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%2.6%2026-04-16 10:35
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-04-16 10:35