La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Elise Mertens

Inicio: 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 66.05%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -3.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.04%66.11%65.95%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.60%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Predicción 33.95%2.95momio equitativo
EV +1.86%
Ventaja +0.620%
Kelly +0.930%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%33.89%34.05%35.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.753.0038.46%36.31%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%4.8%2026-04-16 10:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.930%G +0.017%6.9%2026-04-16 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 10:30
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.53%E -0.529%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.21%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 10:30
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:30
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 10:29
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 10:34
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:35
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.87%E -4.88%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 10:30
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 10:30
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 10:30
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 10:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 10:30
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:28
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 10:29
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 10:33
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 10:29
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:34
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:30
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 10:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 10:35
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 10:30
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:28
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 10:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-16 10:35
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-04-16 10:35
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%2.6%2026-04-16 10:35
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-04-16 10:35