Language:English
Eva Lys v Paula Badosa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Eva Lys (Local)
Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV -0.210%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.088%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%29.48%29.36%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.3933.33%31.45%31.75%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paula Badosa (Visit)
Prediction 70.56%1.42fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.52%70.64%71.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.351.3877.52%74.34%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eva Lys (Local): 29.44%; Paula Badosa (Visit): 70.56%. For Eva Lys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.39, with an expected value of -0.210%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.210%E -0.062%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.27%E -0.684%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 16:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.97%E -6.96%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -4.92%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:32 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.39%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 16:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |