Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Eva Lys v Paula Badosa

Início: 2026-04-14 16:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Eva Lys (Local)

Previsão 29.44%3.40odd justa
EV -0.210%
Vantagem -0.062%
Kelly -0.088%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.14%29.48%29.36%31.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.153.3933.33%31.45%31.75%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Previsão 70.56%1.42odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%70.52%70.64%71.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.291.351.351.3877.52%74.34%74.07%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Eva Lys (Local): 29.44%; Paula Badosa (Visitante): 70.56%. Para Eva Lys (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.40. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.39, com valor esperado de -0.210%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.210%E -0.062%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 16:40
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 16:39
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:39
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.27%E -0.684%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 16:33
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 16:40
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:40
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:40
ReBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 16:40
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:39
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.97%E -6.96%K -30.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 16:39
GTbets🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -4.92%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 16:29
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:32
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:39
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:40
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.39%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:39
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:29
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:39
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:39
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 16:40
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:39
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 16:39
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 16:39
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:29
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:31
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-14 16:40
Novig3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%2.8%2026-04-14 16:40
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%2.9%2026-04-14 16:40