La scuola delle quote

Eva Lys v Paula Badosa

Inizio: 2026-04-14 16:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Eva Lys (Casa)

Previsione 29.44%3.40quota equa
EV -0.210%
Vantaggio -0.062%
Kelly -0.088%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.14%29.48%29.36%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.183.153.3933.33%31.45%31.75%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paula Badosa (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.56%1.42quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%70.52%70.64%71.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.351.351.3877.52%74.34%74.07%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.210%E -0.062%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 16:40
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 16:40
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 16:39
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:39
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.27%E -0.684%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:39
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 16:33
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 16:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:40
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:40
ReBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 16:40
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:39
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:39
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.97%E -6.96%K -30.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 16:39
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -4.92%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 16:29
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:32
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:37
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:39
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:39
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 16:40
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:40
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:40
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.39%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:39
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:39
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:29
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:39
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:40
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:39
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 16:39
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 16:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 16:40
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 16:40
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 16:39
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:39
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 16:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 16:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:29
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:31
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-14 16:40
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-14 16:40
Novig3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%2.8%2026-04-14 16:40
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%2.9%2026-04-14 16:40