La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Eva Lys v Paula Badosa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Eva Lys (Local)
Predicción 29.44%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.210%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.48%29.36%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.153.3933.33%31.45%31.75%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Paula Badosa (Visitante)
Predicción 70.56%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -6.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.52%70.64%71.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.351.3877.52%74.34%74.07%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.210%E -0.062%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.27%E -0.684%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 16:33 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| ReBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.97%E -6.96%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| GTbets | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -4.92%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:32 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.86%E -5.19%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.39%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.57%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.62%E -1.90%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.03%E -2.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 16:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 16:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| ProphetX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Novig | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 16:40 |