Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Karolina Muchova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 55.28%1.81fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.931%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.60%55.44%55.26%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.711.8462.50%58.58%58.31%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Muchova (Visit)
Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -0.719%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.56%44.74%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.14%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 55.28%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 44.72%. For Elina Svitolina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%EV +1.71%E +0.931%K +2.04%G +0.035% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.71%E -1.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-18 10:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 05:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -10.11%E -5.03%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 03:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 05:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 05:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 07:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 03:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 05:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 06:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.43%E -3.59%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.34%E -5.70%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.55%E -7.22%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |