StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina v Karolina Muchova

Matchstart: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina (Hemma)

Prognos 55.28%1.81rättvist odds
EV +1.71%
Fördel +0.931%
Kelly +2.04%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.84

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.60%55.44%55.26%57.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.711.711.8462.50%58.58%58.31%54.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Borta)

Prognos 44.72%2.24rättvist odds
EV -0.719%
Fördel -0.324%
Kelly -0.589%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.11%44.56%44.74%46.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.14%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elina Svitolina (Hemma): 55.28%; Karolina Muchova (Borta): 44.72%. För Elina Svitolina (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.81. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.84, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.71%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%EV +1.71%E +0.931%K +2.04%G +0.035%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.71%E -1.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 10:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 06:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 05:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -10.11%E -5.03%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 10:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:44
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:45
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 10:30
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 08:13
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 08:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 03:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 05:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 08:20
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 05:35
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 05:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 05:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 05:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 07:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 08:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 11:30
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 08:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 06:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 03:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 08:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 08:01
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 05:10
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 05:55
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 06:01
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 05:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.43%E -3.59%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 03:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 05:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 05:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 05:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.34%E -5.70%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.55%E -7.22%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-04-18 11:30