La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Karolina Muchova

Inicio: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 55.28%1.81momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.931%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.60%55.44%55.26%57.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.711.8462.50%58.58%58.31%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Predicción 44.72%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.719%
Ventaja -0.324%
Kelly -0.589%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.11%44.56%44.74%46.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.14%47.17%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%EV +1.71%E +0.931%K +2.04%G +0.035%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.71%E -1.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 10:28
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 06:30
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 05:25
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -10.11%E -5.03%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 10:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 10:30
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 08:13
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 03:30
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 08:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 03:20
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 05:23
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 08:20
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 05:35
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 05:35
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 05:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 05:56
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 03:30
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 07:59
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 08:00
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 11:30
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 08:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 06:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 03:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 08:01
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 08:01
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 05:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 05:55
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 11:30
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 06:01
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 05:35
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.43%E -3.59%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 03:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 05:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 05:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 05:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 05:10
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.34%E -5.70%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.55%E -7.22%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-04-18 11:30