Langue:Français
Elina Svitolina v Karolina Muchova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prévision 55.28%1.81cote équitable
EV +1.71%
Avantage +0.931%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.60%55.44%55.26%57.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.711.711.8462.50%58.58%58.31%54.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.72%2.24cote équitable
EV -0.719%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.589%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.11%44.56%44.74%46.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.14%47.17%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elina Svitolina (Local) : 55.28% ; Karolina Muchova (Visiteur) : 44.72%. Pour Elina Svitolina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.84, soit une espérance positive de +1.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%EV +1.71%E +0.931%K +2.04%G +0.035% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.71%E -1.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.51%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.26%E -1.86%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-18 10:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 05:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -3.82%E -2.19%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -10.11%E -5.03%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.37%E -2.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.30%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.92%E -2.86%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 03:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 05:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.74%E -2.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 05:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 07:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.19%E -2.45%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 03:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.56%E -5.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 05:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.719%E -0.324%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.13%E -4.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.32%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 06:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.60%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.43%E -3.59%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.85%E -1.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.79%E -5.33%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 05:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.34%E -5.70%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.45%E -6.45%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.55%E -7.22%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.61%E -0.733%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |