Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 6.84
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 79.70%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 20.30%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +38.84%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -10.73%E -9.58%K -89.45%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV +38.84%E +5.68%K +6.65%G +2.58% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.64%E +2.12%K +2.59%G +0.301% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +6.57%E +1.25%K +1.55%G +0.101% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -0.538%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -8.05%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 15:13 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 14:47 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -14.34%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.46%EV +2.82%E +2.18%K +9.71%G +0.273% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.54%EV -14.95%E -3.57%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-16 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -15.76%E -3.80%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -17.79%E -4.39%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 21:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -20.84%E -5.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -21.85%E -5.68%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 15:07 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |