La escuela de los momios

Elena Rybakina v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-04-16 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Predicción 79.70%1.25momio equitativo
EV +2.82%
Ventaja +2.18%
Kelly +9.71%
Crecimiento +0.273%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.49%79.75%80.00%85.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.191.181.2989.29%84.16%84.75%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 20.30%4.93momio equitativo
EV +38.84%
Ventaja +5.68%
Kelly +6.65%
Crecimiento +2.58%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.07%20.25%20.00%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.544.506.8425.97%22.03%22.22%14.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -10.73%E -9.58%K -89.45%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV +38.84%E +5.68%K +6.65%G +2.58%3.9%2026-04-16 15:14
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.64%E +2.12%K +2.59%G +0.301%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +6.57%E +1.25%K +1.55%G +0.101%4.5%2026-04-16 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -0.538%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:14
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 15:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 15:15
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -8.05%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-16 14:50
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 15:13
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:15
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:10
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 15:10
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 15:15
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:00
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 15:15
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 14:47
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:50
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -14.34%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 15:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 15:10
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.46%EV +2.82%E +2.18%K +9.71%G +0.273%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.54%EV -14.95%E -3.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-16 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:09
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:09
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -15.76%E -3.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:55
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 14:54
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 14:55
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -17.79%E -4.39%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 15:05
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:50
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 21:15
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -20.84%E -5.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 14:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -21.85%E -5.68%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 15:07
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%4.6%2026-04-16 15:15