L’École des cotes

Elena Rybakina v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prévision 79.70%1.25cote équitable
EV +2.82%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +9.71%
Croissance +0.273%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.49%79.75%80.00%85.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.191.181.2989.29%84.16%84.75%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.30%4.93cote équitable
EV +38.84%
Avantage +5.68%
Kelly +6.65%
Croissance +2.58%

avec la cote maximale 6.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.07%20.25%20.00%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.544.506.8425.97%22.03%22.22%14.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -10.73%E -9.58%K -89.45%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV +38.84%E +5.68%K +6.65%G +2.58%3.9%2026-04-16 15:14
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.64%E +2.12%K +2.59%G +0.301%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +6.57%E +1.25%K +1.55%G +0.101%4.5%2026-04-16 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -0.538%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:14
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 15:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 15:15
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -8.05%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-16 14:50
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 15:13
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:15
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:10
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 15:10
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 15:15
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:00
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 15:15
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 14:47
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:50
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -14.34%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 15:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 15:10
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.46%EV +2.82%E +2.18%K +9.71%G +0.273%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.54%EV -14.95%E -3.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-16 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:09
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:09
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -15.76%E -3.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:55
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 14:54
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 14:55
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -17.79%E -4.39%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 15:05
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:50
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 21:15
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -20.84%E -5.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 14:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -21.85%E -5.68%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 15:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%4.6%2026-04-16 15:15