مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elena Rybakina v Diana Shnaider

البداية: 2026-04-16 16:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elena Rybakina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.70%1.25السعر العادل
EV +2.82%
الأفضلية +2.18%
Kelly +9.71%
النمو +0.273%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.49%79.75%80.00%85.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.191.181.2989.29%84.16%84.75%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Diana Shnaider (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.30%4.93السعر العادل
EV +38.84%
الأفضلية +5.68%
Kelly +6.65%
النمو +2.58%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.07%20.25%20.00%24.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.854.544.506.8425.97%22.03%22.22%14.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.93%EV -10.73%E -9.58%K -89.45%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.07%EV +38.84%E +5.68%K +6.65%G +2.58%3.9%2026-04-16 15:14
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +11.64%E +2.12%K +2.59%G +0.301%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +6.57%E +1.25%K +1.55%G +0.101%4.5%2026-04-16 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%7.7%2026-04-16 15:10
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -0.538%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:15
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 15:14
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 15:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -4.60%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -5.61%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 15:15
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -8.05%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-16 14:50
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 15:13
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:15
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.16%E -4.33%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:15
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 15:10
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:15
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 15:10
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.75%E -5.77%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.55%E -6.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 15:15
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.95%E -5.04%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:00
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -9.14%E -8.02%K -65.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 15:15
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 14:47
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:50
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -14.34%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 15:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 15:10
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.46%EV +2.82%E +2.18%K +9.71%G +0.273%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.54%EV -14.95%E -3.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-16 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:09
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -15.56%E -3.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:09
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -15.76%E -3.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:55
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 14:54
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 14:55
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -1.97%E -1.60%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -17.79%E -4.39%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 15:05
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:50
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.76%E -2.27%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 21:15
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.36%E -3.63%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -1.17%E -0.944%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -20.84%E -5.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 14:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -0.373%E -0.298%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -21.85%E -5.68%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 15:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-16 15:15
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%4.6%2026-04-16 15:15