Language:English
Shuai Zhang v Cristina Bucsa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shuai Zhang (Local)
Prediction 41.15%2.43fair odd
EV +0.414%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%41.08%41.18%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.302.4447.62%43.05%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cristina Bucsa (Visit)
Prediction 58.85%1.70fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%58.92%58.82%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6865.36%62.81%62.70%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shuai Zhang (Local): 41.15%; Cristina Bucsa (Visit): 58.85%. For Shuai Zhang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.414%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.414%E +0.170%K +0.287%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 07:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 07:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.96%E -6.51%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 08:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 07:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -9.38%E -6.09%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.02%E -4.44%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.43%E -4.05%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 07:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.99%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 07:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 07:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 07:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 07:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.64%E -3.89%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -1.14%E -0.677%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 07:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 15:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.90%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 08:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |