La escuela de los momios

Shuai Zhang v Cristina Bucsa

Inicio: 2026-05-19 08:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Predicción 41.15%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.414%
Ventaja +0.170%
Kelly +0.287%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%41.08%41.18%44.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.302.4447.62%43.05%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)

Predicción 58.85%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.00%58.92%58.82%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.601.6865.36%62.81%62.70%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.414%E +0.170%K +0.287%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 07:50
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:20
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 07:40
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:20
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:19
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.96%E -6.51%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:19
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 08:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 08:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 07:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:20
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 07:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -9.38%E -6.09%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 07:20
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:20
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 08:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 06:30
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.02%E -4.44%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 08:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 07:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 06:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 08:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 04:50
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.43%E -4.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 07:40
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 07:29
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.99%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 07:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 07:40
Betsson2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:19
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
NordicBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.64%E -3.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -1.14%E -0.677%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 08:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 07:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 15:23
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.90%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 15:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-05-19 08:20
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-05-19 08:10