مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shuai Zhang v Cristina Bucsa

البداية: 2026-05-19 08:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shuai Zhang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.15%2.43السعر العادل
EV +0.414%
الأفضلية +0.170%
Kelly +0.287%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.93%41.08%41.18%44.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.322.302.4447.62%43.05%43.48%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cristina Bucsa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.85%1.70السعر العادل
EV -1.14%
الأفضلية -0.677%
Kelly -1.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.00%58.92%58.82%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.591.601.6865.36%62.81%62.70%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.414%E +0.170%K +0.287%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 07:50
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:20
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 07:40
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:20
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:19
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.96%E -6.51%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:19
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 08:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 08:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 07:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:20
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 07:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -9.38%E -6.09%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 07:20
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:20
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 08:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 06:30
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.02%E -4.44%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 08:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 07:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 06:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 08:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 04:50
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.43%E -4.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 07:40
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 07:29
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.99%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 07:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 07:40
Betsson2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:19
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
NordicBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.64%E -3.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -1.14%E -0.677%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 08:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 07:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 15:23
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.90%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 15:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-05-19 08:20
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-05-19 08:10