L’École des cotes

Shuai Zhang v Cristina Bucsa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 08:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 41.15%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.414%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.287%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%41.08%41.18%44.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.302.4447.62%43.05%43.48%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cristina Bucsa (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.85%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%58.92%58.82%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.601.6865.36%62.81%62.70%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.414%E +0.170%K +0.287%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 07:50
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:20
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 07:40
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:20
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:19
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 07:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.96%E -6.51%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:19
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 08:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.88%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 08:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 07:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 07:20
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 07:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -9.38%E -6.09%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 07:20
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:20
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 08:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 07:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 06:30
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.02%E -4.44%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.20%E -5.26%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 08:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 07:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 06:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.79%E -5.67%K -15.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 08:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 04:50
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.43%E -4.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 07:40
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 07:29
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.99%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 07:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 07:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 07:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 07:40
Betsson2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:19
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
NordicBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 07:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.64%E -3.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -1.14%E -0.677%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 08:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 07:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 15:23
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.90%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-19 08:20
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-05-19 08:20
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-05-19 08:10