Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Emma Navarro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 56.76%1.76fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.60%56.82%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7361.73%59.31%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emma Navarro (Visit)
Prediction 43.24%2.31fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.40%43.18%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.19%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 56.76%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 43.24%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -1.81%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 11:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 10:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 11:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 11:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07% | 2.7% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |