L’École des cotes

Sara Bejlek v Emma Navarro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prévision 56.76%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.60%56.82%57.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.7361.73%59.31%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emma Navarro (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.24%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.31%43.40%43.18%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.19%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:35
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 11:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 11:33
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 11:20
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 11:35
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 11:35
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:35
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 11:35
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 11:34
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 11:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 11:35
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-05-17 10:35