مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sara Bejlek v Emma Navarro

البداية: 2026-05-17 12:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sara Bejlek (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.76%1.76السعر العادل
EV -1.81%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -2.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.83%56.60%56.82%57.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.691.681.7361.73%59.31%59.52%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Emma Navarro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.24%2.31السعر العادل
EV -2.71%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.31%43.40%43.18%45.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.19%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:35
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 11:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 11:33
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 11:20
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 11:35
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 11:35
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:35
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 11:35
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 11:34
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 11:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 11:35
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 11:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-05-17 10:35