La escuela de los momios

Sara Bejlek v Emma Navarro

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Predicción 56.76%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.60%56.82%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7361.73%59.31%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.40%43.18%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.19%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:35
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 11:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 11:35
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 11:33
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 11:20
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 11:35
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 11:35
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 11:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:35
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 11:35
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 11:34
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 11:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 11:35
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 11:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 11:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 11:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-17 11:35
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-05-17 10:35