Language:English
Madison Keys v Cristina Bucsa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 75.55%1.32fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%75.60%75.40%77.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.36%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cristina Bucsa (Visit)
Prediction 24.45%4.09fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 4.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.50%24.40%24.60%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.913.884.2728.57%25.60%25.81%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 75.55%; Cristina Bucsa (Visit): 24.45%. For Cristina Bucsa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 02:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 02:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.69%E +0.640%K +0.840%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.58%E -7.09%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:36 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 04:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 00:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.98%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -13.20%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 01:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93% | 2.7% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47% | 3.4% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |