A Escola das Odds

Madison Keys v Cristina Bucsa

Início: 2026-05-19 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Previsão 75.55%1.32odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -8.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.07%75.60%75.40%77.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.36%80.65%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)

Previsão 24.45%4.09odd justa
EV +4.40%
Vantagem +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.50%24.40%24.60%26.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.913.884.2728.57%25.60%25.81%23.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059%4.1%2026-05-18 02:24
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059%4.1%2026-05-18 02:30
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.69%E +0.640%K +0.840%G +0.023%4.5%2026-05-18 11:40
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:16
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:16
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:16
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:16
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:16
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:15
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:16
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 00:45
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-18 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:45
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:10
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:10
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 06:10
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 06:14
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 06:15
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 06:15
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 22:50
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.58%E -7.09%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 06:15
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:15
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:40
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:36
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 04:40
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 00:45
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 00:44
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 06:30
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 00:40
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 00:45
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 00:44
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 09:15
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-18 00:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 09:50
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 09:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 00:44
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 22:40
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 06:15
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 00:40
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 00:44
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 00:43
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.98%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 00:44
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -13.20%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 00:45
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 09:05
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 01:31
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-05-18 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-05-18 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-05-18 08:30
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%2.7%2026-05-18 09:05
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%3.4%2026-05-18 08:20
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-05-18 08:35