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Madison Keys v Cristina Bucsa
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Madison Keys (Хозяева)
Прогноз 75.55%1.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.54%
Преимущество -1.97%
Kelly -8.76%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.07%75.60%75.40%77.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.36%80.65%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cristina Bucsa (Гости)
Прогноз 24.45%4.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.40%
Преимущество +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
Рост +0.059%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.50%24.40%24.60%26.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.913.884.2728.57%25.60%25.81%23.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Madison Keys (Хозяева): 75.55%; Cristina Bucsa (Гости): 24.45%. Для исхода «Cristina Bucsa (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.09. 17 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.27, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.40%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 02:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 02:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.69%E +0.640%K +0.840%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.58%E -7.09%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:36 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 04:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 00:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.98%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -13.20%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 01:31 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93% | 2.7% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47% | 3.4% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |