La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Cristina Bucsa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 75.55%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -8.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.07%75.60%75.40%77.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.36%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)
Predicción 24.45%4.09momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.50%24.40%24.60%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.913.884.2728.57%25.60%25.81%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 02:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV +4.40%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.059% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 02:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.69%E +0.640%K +0.840%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:16 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +0.244%E +0.060%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-18 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:45 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.20%E -0.550%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 22:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.58%E -7.09%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.81%E -3.81%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:36 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 04:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 09:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -9.34%E -7.78%K -46.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.09%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 06:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.30%E -2.57%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 00:43 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.98%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 00:44 |
| ReBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -13.20%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 00:45 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 01:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93% | 2.7% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47% | 3.4% | 2026-05-18 08:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |