Language:English
Marie Bouzkova v Donna Vekic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marie Bouzkova (Local)
Prediction 57.95%1.73fair odd
EV +0.254%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%57.84%57.99%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.631.7364.52%60.90%61.35%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Donna Vekic (Visit)
Prediction 42.05%2.38fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.16%42.01%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.262.3247.62%44.60%44.25%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 57.95%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 42.05%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.726. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.730, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.254%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.254%E +0.147%K +0.349%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.325%E -0.189%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.48%E -0.873%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -2.06%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.64%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 16:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-10 16:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-10 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.02%E -5.74%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.18%E -6.57%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 2.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |