La escuela de los momios

Marie Bouzkova v Donna Vekic

Inicio: 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 57.95%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.254%
Ventaja +0.147%
Kelly +0.349%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%57.84%57.99%59.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.631.7364.52%60.90%61.35%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Predicción 42.05%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%42.16%42.01%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.262.3247.62%44.60%44.25%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.254%E +0.147%K +0.349%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:50
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.325%E -0.189%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 16:49
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.48%E -0.873%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -2.06%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-10 16:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.64%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-10 16:49
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 16:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 16:49
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:49
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:49
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:48
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:48
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:39
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.02%E -5.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.18%E -6.57%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-06-10 16:50