A Escola das Odds

Marie Bouzkova v Donna Vekic

Início: 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Previsão 57.95%1.73odd justa
EV +0.254%
Vantagem +0.147%
Kelly +0.349%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%57.84%57.99%59.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.631.7364.52%60.90%61.35%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Previsão 42.05%2.38odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%42.16%42.01%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.262.3247.62%44.60%44.25%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.254%E +0.147%K +0.349%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:50
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.325%E -0.189%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 16:49
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.48%E -0.873%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -2.06%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-10 16:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.64%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-10 16:49
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 16:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 16:49
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:49
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:49
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:48
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:48
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:39
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.02%E -5.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.18%E -6.57%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-06-10 16:50