L’École des cotes

Marie Bouzkova v Donna Vekic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prévision 57.95%1.73cote équitable
EV +0.254%
Avantage +0.147%
Kelly +0.349%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%57.84%57.99%59.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.631.7364.52%60.90%61.35%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Donna Vekic (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.05%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.26%42.16%42.01%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.262.3247.62%44.60%44.25%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.254%E +0.147%K +0.349%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:50
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.325%E -0.189%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 16:49
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.48%E -0.873%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -2.06%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-10 16:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.64%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.70%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-10 16:49
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 16:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 16:49
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:49
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:49
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 16:48
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:48
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.39%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.49%E -3.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:39
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.02%E -5.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.18%E -6.57%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.29%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-06-10 16:50