Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v McCartney Kessler
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 55.18%1.81fair odd
EV -0.679%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.34%55.12%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.731.8062.50%58.09%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
McCartney Kessler (Visit)
Prediction 44.82%2.23fair odd
EV +0.849%
Edge +0.377%
Kelly +0.679%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.66%44.88%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2550.00%47.52%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 55.18%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 44.82%. For McCartney Kessler (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.849%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.849%E +0.377%K +0.679%G +0.006% | 3.3% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV +0.401%E +0.179%K +0.323%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-08 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.51%E -5.80%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-08 12:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-08 13:37 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.43%E -2.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.679%E -0.377%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-08 13:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92% | 2.6% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |