A Escola das Odds

Karolina Pliskova v McCartney Kessler

Início: 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Previsão 55.18%1.81odd justa
EV -0.679%
Vantagem -0.377%
Kelly -0.849%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%55.34%55.12%57.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.721.731.8062.50%58.09%57.80%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

McCartney Kessler (Visitante)

Previsão 44.82%2.23odd justa
EV +0.849%
Vantagem +0.377%
Kelly +0.679%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.11%44.66%44.88%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2550.00%47.52%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.849%E +0.377%K +0.679%G +0.006%3.3%2026-06-08 13:09
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV +0.401%E +0.179%K +0.323%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-08 13:09
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-08 13:09
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.51%E -5.80%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 12:58
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-08 13:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:08
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 13:09
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 13:09
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 13:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:37
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.43%E -2.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 13:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 13:49
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:10
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 13:09
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.679%E -0.377%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 13:09
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 13:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-08 13:29
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-06-08 13:49
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-06-08 13:39