L’École des cotes

Karolina Pliskova v McCartney Kessler

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Prévision 55.18%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.679%
Avantage -0.377%
Kelly -0.849%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.34%55.12%57.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.721.731.8062.50%58.09%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

McCartney Kessler (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.82%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.849%
Avantage +0.377%
Kelly +0.679%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.11%44.66%44.88%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2550.00%47.52%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.849%E +0.377%K +0.679%G +0.006%3.3%2026-06-08 13:09
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV +0.401%E +0.179%K +0.323%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-08 13:09
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-08 13:09
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.51%E -5.80%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 12:58
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-08 13:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:08
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 13:09
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 13:09
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 13:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:37
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.43%E -2.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 13:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 13:49
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:10
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 13:09
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.679%E -0.377%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 13:09
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-08 13:29
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-06-08 13:49
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-06-08 13:39