Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v Donna Vekic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 56.63%1.77fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.92%56.47%56.81%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.52%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Donna Vekic (Visit)
Prediction 43.37%2.31fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.878%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.53%43.19%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.142.2650.00%46.55%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 56.63%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 43.37%. For Karolina Pliskova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.46%E -0.841%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.06%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.45%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.79%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -13.26%E -6.63%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |