La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Pliskova v Donna Vekic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Predicción 56.63%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.841%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.92%56.47%56.81%57.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.52%59.52%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Donna Vekic (Visitante)
Predicción 43.37%2.31momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.11%43.53%43.19%45.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.142.2650.00%46.55%46.73%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.46%E -0.841%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.06%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 14:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.45%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.79%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 14:19 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -13.26%E -6.63%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 2.4% | 2026-06-12 14:20 |