A Escola das Odds

Karolina Pliskova v Donna Vekic

Início: 2026-06-12 14:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Previsão 56.63%1.77odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.841%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.92%56.47%56.81%57.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.52%59.52%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Previsão 43.37%2.31odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.878%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.11%43.53%43.19%45.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.142.2650.00%46.55%46.73%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.46%E -0.841%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.06%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 14:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 14:19
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 14:20
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-12 14:20
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 14:20
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 14:20
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 14:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 14:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 14:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 14:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 14:20
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.45%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 14:20
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.79%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 14:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 14:19
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -13.26%E -6.63%K -13.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%2.4%2026-06-12 14:20