L’École des cotes

Karolina Pliskova v Donna Vekic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 14:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Prévision 56.63%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.841%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.92%56.47%56.81%57.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.52%59.52%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Donna Vekic (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.37%2.31cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.878%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.11%43.53%43.19%45.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.142.2650.00%46.55%46.73%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.46%E -0.841%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.06%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 14:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.19%E -3.36%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 14:20
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 14:19
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 14:20
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-12 14:20
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 14:20
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 14:20
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 14:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 14:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 14:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 14:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 14:20
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.45%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 14:20
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.79%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 14:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 14:19
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -13.26%E -6.63%K -13.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.59%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.39%E -5.87%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-12 14:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-06-12 14:20
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%2.4%2026-06-12 14:20