Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-08-27 22:43 UTC

Final: Darja Vidmanova 1–2 Nikola Bartunkova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV -0.286%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.173%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%37.63%37.72%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.542.6541.67%39.23%39.45%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%62.37%62.28%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.26%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 37.63%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 62.37%. For Darja Vidmanova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.286%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:01
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 19:59
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.67%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 19:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 19:46
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.43%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 19:46
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 19:50
ReBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:10
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 05:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 04:15
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
NordicBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:24
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 06:40
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 04:00
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 19:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -8.94%E -3.69%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 19:46
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-27 22:40
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-08-27 22:15
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%3.0%2026-08-27 22:40