Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Darja Vidmanova v Nikola Bartunkova

Início: 2026-08-27 22:43 UTC

Final: Darja Vidmanova 1–2 Nikola Bartunkova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Previsão 37.63%2.66odd justa
EV -0.286%
Vantagem -0.108%
Kelly -0.173%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.64%37.63%37.72%39.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.542.6541.67%39.23%39.45%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Previsão 62.37%1.60odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.76%62.37%62.28%64.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.26%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 37.63%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 62.37%. Para Darja Vidmanova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -0.286%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:01
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 19:59
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.67%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 19:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 19:46
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.43%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 19:46
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 19:50
ReBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:10
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 05:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 04:15
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
NordicBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:24
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 06:40
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 04:00
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 19:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -8.94%E -3.69%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 19:46
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-27 22:40
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-08-27 22:15
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%3.0%2026-08-27 22:40