Idioma:Español
Darja Vidmanova v Nikola Bartunkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Darja Vidmanova (Local)
Predicción 37.63%2.66momio equitativo
EV -0.286%
Ventaja -0.108%
Kelly -0.173%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.64%37.63%37.72%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.542.6541.67%39.23%39.45%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)
Predicción 62.37%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%62.37%62.28%64.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.26%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 37.63%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 62.37%. Para Darja Vidmanova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.65, con un valor esperado de -0.286%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 22:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-27 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-27 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.67%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.43%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 19:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 05:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 06:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 04:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -8.94%E -3.69%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 19:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 1.3% | 2026-08-27 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65% | 3.0% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |