Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Darja Vidmanova v Nikola Bartunkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-27 22:43 UTC

Score final : Darja Vidmanova 1–2 Nikola Bartunkova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prévision 37.63%2.66cote équitable
EV -0.286%
Avantage -0.108%
Kelly -0.173%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.64%37.63%37.72%39.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.542.6541.67%39.23%39.45%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.37%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%62.37%62.28%64.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.26%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Darja Vidmanova (Local) : 37.63% ; Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur) : 62.37%. Pour Darja Vidmanova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.66. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -0.286% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:01
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.18%E -7.07%K -23.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 19:59
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.67%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 19:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 19:46
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.43%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 19:46
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 19:50
ReBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:10
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 05:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:46
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 04:15
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
NordicBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 19:46
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:24
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.06%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 06:40
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 04:00
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 19:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -8.94%E -3.69%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 19:46
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:25
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-27 22:40
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-27 22:40
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-08-27 22:15
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%3.0%2026-08-27 22:40