Language:English
Talia Gibson v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talia Gibson (Local)
Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd
EV +14.64%
Edge +4.16%
Kelly +5.81%
Growth +0.851%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%31.97%33.18%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.843.5237.74%34.58%35.21%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 67.43%1.48fair odd
EV -0.875%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%68.03%66.82%73.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.411.4776.92%71.40%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 32.57%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 67.43%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +14.64%E +4.16%K +5.81%G +0.851% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.99%E +4.00%K +5.60%G +0.783% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -0.875%E -0.595%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -8.48%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.79%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.55%E -1.06%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -11.41%E -4.20%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 13:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 17:37 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 20:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 17:53 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |