La escuela de los momios

Talia Gibson v Naomi Osaka

Inicio: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV +14.64%
Ventaja +4.16%
Kelly +5.81%
Crecimiento +0.851%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%31.97%33.18%35.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.892.843.5237.74%34.58%35.21%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 67.43%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.875%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.63%68.03%66.82%73.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.411.4776.92%71.40%70.92%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +14.64%E +4.16%K +5.81%G +0.851%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.99%E +4.00%K +5.60%G +0.783%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 17:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +0.961%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:54
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:55
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 17:55
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -0.875%E -0.595%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:54
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:54
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:54
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 13:40
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:49
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -8.48%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:44
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:25
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 15:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:50
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:54
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:54
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.79%E -3.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.55%E -1.06%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:09
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -11.41%E -4.20%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:34
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 03:45
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:53
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 13:39
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:37
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:54
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 20:44
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -13.69%E -5.17%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-03-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-21 17:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-03-21 17:53
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-03-21 17:55
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%2.9%2026-03-21 17:54
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%5.3%2026-03-21 17:55